Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#69
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#39
Pace64.5#253
Improvement-4.5#319

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#45
Improvement-1.8#259

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#131
Improvement-2.7#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% n/a n/a
First Round92.5% n/a n/a
Second Round32.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2011 79   @ Denver L 52-59 39%     0 - 1 +2.8 -13.6 +15.7
  Nov 19, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. W 79-58 38%     1 - 1 +31.2 +26.0 +10.3
  Nov 24, 2011 241   UC Irvine W 78-67 86%     2 - 1 +6.4 -7.8 +12.6
  Nov 25, 2011 50   New Mexico St. W 80-72 44%     3 - 1 +16.5 +10.7 +5.7
  Nov 26, 2011 42   Murray St. L 81-90 2OT 41%     3 - 2 +0.3 +2.7 -1.3
  Dec 04, 2011 50   New Mexico St. W 74-66 58%     4 - 2 +13.1 +0.5 +12.2
  Dec 07, 2011 205   @ South Alabama W 67-54 71%     5 - 2 +14.3 +9.4 +7.8
  Dec 10, 2011 185   Louisiana Tech W 78-62 86%     6 - 2 +11.3 +7.7 +4.7
  Dec 17, 2011 84   Mississippi W 86-82 67%     7 - 2 +6.5 +11.1 -4.9
  Dec 19, 2011 225   @ Arizona St. W 64-61 75%     8 - 2 +3.0 +1.5 +2.1
  Dec 22, 2011 55   South Florida W 53-51 59%     9 - 2 +6.7 -7.7 +14.6
  Dec 29, 2011 335   Alcorn St. W 80-49 98%     10 - 2 +12.9 +2.7 +11.6
  Dec 31, 2011 209   @ McNeese St. W 65-56 72%     11 - 2 +10.0 +0.3 +10.8
  Jan 04, 2012 138   East Carolina W 78-76 78%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +0.9 +5.1 -4.2
  Jan 07, 2012 186   @ Tulane W 71-66 OT 68%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +7.1 +1.2 +5.9
  Jan 11, 2012 10   @ Memphis L 58-60 14%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +16.5 -3.2 +19.5
  Jan 14, 2012 124   UAB W 59-55 76%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +3.6 -2.7 +6.9
  Jan 21, 2012 76   Marshall W 67-63 64%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +7.3 -1.4 +8.9
  Jan 25, 2012 138   @ East Carolina W 72-60 55%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +17.7 +4.3 +13.8
  Jan 28, 2012 93   @ Central Florida W 78-65 43%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +21.8 +14.7 +7.9
  Feb 01, 2012 10   Memphis W 75-72 33%     18 - 3 7 - 1 +14.7 +14.9 +0.1
  Feb 08, 2012 124   @ UAB L 61-71 53%     18 - 4 7 - 2 -3.6 -0.1 -4.5
  Feb 11, 2012 93   Central Florida W 78-74 69%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +6.0 +6.7 -0.7
  Feb 15, 2012 94   Tulsa W 77-69 OT 69%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +9.8 +2.3 +7.2
  Feb 18, 2012 182   @ Houston L 71-73 67%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +0.5 -0.3 +0.8
  Feb 22, 2012 131   @ UTEP L 68-76 2OT 55%     20 - 6 9 - 4 -2.1 -3.7 +2.0
  Feb 25, 2012 145   Rice W 58-56 80%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +0.2 -8.2 +8.6
  Feb 29, 2012 181   SMU W 67-60 85%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +2.7 +6.2 -2.2
  Mar 03, 2012 76   @ Marshall L 75-79 38%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +6.1 +5.3 +0.8
  Mar 08, 2012 138   East Carolina W 81-78 OT 68%     23 - 7 +5.3 +5.4 -0.2
  Mar 09, 2012 76   Marshall L 62-73 51%     23 - 8 -4.3 -4.7 -0.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 93.0% 93.0% 9.7 0.1 0.4 6.5 31.0 40.9 13.2 0.9 0.0 7.0 93.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 93.0% 0.0% 93.0% 9.7 0.1 0.4 6.5 31.0 40.9 13.2 0.9 0.0 7.0 93.0%